The ongoing conflict between Hezbollah and Israel has intensified, raising fears of a potential all-out war. Since the war in Gaza began in October 2023, daily exchanges of fire have occurred along the Israeli-Lebanese border. The violence has displaced thousands of civilians on both sides, adding to the region’s instability.
Hezbollah’s History and Influence
Hezbollah is a powerful Shia Muslim political and militant organisation based in Lebanon, with strong ties to Iran. Founded in the 1980s during Lebanon’s civil war, it was originally established to resist Israeli occupation in southern Lebanon. Over the years, Hezbollah has become a major political force in Lebanon, while maintaining a formidable military wing that controls significant firepower.
Escalation of Hostilities
Hezbollah and Israel have exchanged fire since October 2023, with both sides intensifying attacks in recent months. Hezbollah has launched over 8,000 rockets into northern Israel, while the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) have responded with airstrikes and artillery fire targeting Hezbollah positions in southern Lebanon. The rising death toll includes at least 589 people in Lebanon and dozens in Israel, including both civilians and soldiers.
Hezbollah’s Military Capabilities
Hezbollah’s military wing is one of the most heavily armed non-state forces in the world, with an estimated 120,000 to 200,000 rockets and missiles. Many of these weapons are supplied by Iran, allowing Hezbollah to pose a significant threat to Israeli security. Despite the ongoing conflict, neither side has crossed the line into full-scale war, though tensions remain high.
Leadership and Alliances
Hezbollah is led by Sheikh Hassan Nasrallah, a Shia cleric with close ties to Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Nasrallah has not appeared in public for years, delivering speeches via television. The group’s allegiance to Iran strengthens its influence in the region, positioning it as a key player in the broader Middle East conflict.
Future of the Conflict
While both Hezbollah and Israel have so far avoided full-scale war, the situation remains fragile. Observers warn that any further escalation could trigger a broader regional conflict. The U.S. has been working to broker a ceasefire, hoping to de-escalate tensions between Israel, Hamas, and Hezbollah. However, the potential for renewed violence looms large as both sides continue to engage in daily clashes.
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